Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 9.24 | $0.250 | $8.18 | +$5.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.246 | $3.25 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.14 |
| $0.710 |
| $7.11 |
| +$2.04 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 6.18 | $0.689 | $5.1 | +$0.84 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5.42 | $0.890 | $4.74 | -$0.08 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 6.7 | $0.670 | $4.52 | +$0.03 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 4.35 | $0.660 | $3.54 | +$0.67 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.53 | $0.770 | $3.29 | -$0.97 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.88 | $0.650 | $3.1 | -$0.07 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 10.06 | $0.320 | $2.82 | -$0.4 |
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | Yes | 13.24 | $0.245 | $2.63 | -$0.62 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.27 | $0.670 | $2.24 | -$0.62 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 7.28 | $0.390 | $2.15 | -$0.69 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 19.71 | $0.140 | $1.08 | -$1.68 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 7.74 | $0.340 | $0.24 | -$2.39 |
| sell |
| 17.51 |
| $0.131 |
| $2.29 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.710 | $5.07 | 1d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 19.41 | $0.150 | $2.91 | 1d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.320 | $3.22 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.41 | $0.170 | $3.3 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 17.51 | $0.189 | $3.31 | 2d ago |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.650 | $3.17 | 8d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.96 | $0.700 | $4.87 | 11d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 5.42 | $0.890 | $4.82 | 12d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.850 | $4.74 | 12d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.870 | $4.86 | 13d ago |
 Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.270 | $2.97 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.660 | $2.87 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.670 | $4.49 | 22d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | sell | 6.87 | $0.913 | $6.27 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.27 | $0.670 | $2.86 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.18 | $0.689 | $4.26 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.770 | $4.26 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.615 | $2.59 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.550 | $2.86 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.800 | $3.89 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | buy | 4.86 | $0.860 | $4.18 | 29d ago |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.56 | $0.200 | $1.71 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.500 | $2.6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.74 | $0.340 | $2.63 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.790 | $2.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.850 | $2.68 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.87 | $0.390 | $2.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.900 | $2.41 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 19.71 | $0.140 | $2.76 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.56 | $0.320 | $2.74 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.750 | $2.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 4.75 | $0.560 | $2.66 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.33 | $0.630 | $2.73 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.560 | $4.21 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.370 | $2.44 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.560 | $2.43 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.28 | $0.940 | $3.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.289 | $2.48 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.510 | $2.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.740 | $2.43 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.310 | $2.33 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 9.24 | $0.250 | $2.31 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.560 | $2.33 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.850 | $3.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.7 | $0.870 | $4.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.537 | $3.63 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.02 | $0.032 | $0.29 | Jul 2, 2026 |