Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 0.1 |
| $0.963 |
| $0.1 |
| Sep 17, 2024 |
 Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in August?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Rainbow airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.968 | $0.1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | sell | 35.97 | $0.390 | $14.03 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Shark" in August?Yes | sell | 49.98 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Donald & Melania Trump seen together in August?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.590 | $1.59 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 María Corina Machado arrested before October?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.370 | $1.15 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump post on X again before election?No | sell | 7.25 | $0.310 | $2.25 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris go on Hot Ones by August 31?Yes | sell | 74.54 | $0.090 | $6.71 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Trump | sell | 44.03 | $0.230 | $10.13 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?No | sell | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k before September?No | sell | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Monday or later?Yes | sell | 93.4 | $0.910 | $84.99 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 France train attack claimed by terror org?No | sell | 9.69 | $0.971 | $9.41 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Monday?Yes | sell | 35.69 | $0.800 | $28.55 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?Yes | sell | 55.49 | $0.550 | $30.52 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 US military action against Hezbollah in Lebanon by Monday?No | sell | 39 | $0.980 | $38.22 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Brat" in August?No | sell | 53.9 | $0.710 | $38.27 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump post on X again before election?No | sell | 102.75 | $0.420 | $43.16 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Kamala campaign accepts crypto donations before September?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.219 | $48.2 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Ben Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31?No | sell | 60.15 | $0.870 | $52.33 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Another GTA 6 trailer released by October 4?Yes | sell | 100.43 | $0.490 | $49.21 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Maduro out before September?Yes | sell | 139.83 | $0.160 | $22.37 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by Monday?No | sell | 85.81 | $0.970 | $83.24 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Trump photographed holding baby in August?No | sell | 70 | $0.710 | $49.7 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran in August?No | sell | 100 | $0.380 | $38.04 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?Yes | sell | 47.64 | $0.590 | $28.11 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?Yes | sell | 51.06 | $0.900 | $45.95 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?No | sell | 118.33 | $0.710 | $84.01 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?Yes | sell | 101.17 | $0.820 | $82.96 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Coconut" in August?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.380 | $22.8 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Venn diagram" in August?No | sell | 70 | $0.820 | $57.4 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| U.S. military action against Iran by Monday?No | sell | 203.32 | $0.972 | $197.67 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?No | sell | 113.95 | $0.991 | $112.92 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?No | sell | 39.5 | $0.100 | $3.95 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 120 or more times?Yes | sell | 181.03 | $0.993 | $179.76 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Will $BTC reach 75k in July?No | sell | 24.48 | $0.991 | $24.26 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will $BTC reach 75k in July?No | sell | 25.52 | $0.992 | $25.32 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Couch" before August?Yes | sell | 45.99 | $0.019 | $0.87 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Gary Peters Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 100 | $0.953 | $95.3 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "Couch" before August?Yes | sell | 14.33 | $0.018 | $0.26 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?Yes | sell | 229.35 | $0.040 | $9.17 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will the US gain more than 300k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.080 | $5.52 | Jul 30, 2024 |