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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.57 | $0.046 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.270 | $9.45 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 111 |
| $0.190 |
| $21.09 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.190 | $25.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.120 | $5.76 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.910 | $6.37 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 72 | $0.470 | $33.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 50 | $0.955 | $47.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 100.57 | $0.046 | $4.63 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.470 | $20.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.988 | $30.63 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.988 | $30.63 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.015 | $2.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.013 | $2.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.186 | $11.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.183 | $11.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.978 | $42.05 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.979 | $42.1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 81 | $0.410 | $33.21 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.041 | $6.48 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.046 | $7.27 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.959 | $46.99 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.959 | $46.99 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.860 | $42.14 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 38 | $0.870 | $33.06 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.977 | $21.49 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.023 | $0.28 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.016 | $0.03 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.944 | $3.78 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.023 | $0.11 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.945 | $11.34 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.948 | $15.17 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.024 | $0.17 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.023 | $0.16 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 9 | $0.984 | $8.86 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 82°F or below on August 12?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.006 | $0.36 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.980 | $17.64 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.953 | $5.72 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.970 | $20.37 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.970 | $23.28 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.971 | $51.46 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.017 | $1.24 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.964 | $11.57 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 134 | $0.012 | $1.61 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.011 | $1.3 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 58 | $0.994 | $57.65 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.961 | $17.3 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 17 | $0.903 | $15.35 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 2 | $0.911 | $1.82 | Aug 9, 2025 |