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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 107.14 | $0.140 | $12.32 | -$2.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 66.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $9.67 |
| -$0.33 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 27.03 | $0.370 | $9.59 | -$0.41 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $3.65 | -$1.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $2.83 | -$7.17 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.270 | $2.28 | -$0.72 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | $0 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | Yes | 17.5 | $0.114 | $1.35 | -$0.65 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.120 | $1.08 | -$0.92 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $0.93 | -$1.07 |
| buy |
| 5.13 |
| $0.390 |
| $2 |
| 8d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.2 | $0.151 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.130 | $1.63 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.313 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 17.09 | $0.292 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.162 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 34.32 | $0.058 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.030 | $16.67 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 65.35 | $0.096 | $6.27 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.114 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |