Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 21.83 | $0.916 | $21.17 | +$1.17 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | May 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3.88 |
| $0.773 |
| $3.51 |
| +$0.51 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.909 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.848 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 21.83 |
| $0.916 |
| $20 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | May 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | sell | 2.51 | $0.970 | $2.43 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | buy | 105.3 | $0.950 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown | buy | 50.51 | $0.990 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 14.12 | $0.990 | $13.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown | buy | 15.13 | $0.990 | $14.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4PM ETUp | buy | 5.18 | $0.960 | $4.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4PM ETUp | buy | 5.13 | $0.970 | $4.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4PM ETUp | buy | 5.18 | $0.960 | $4.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1PM ETUp | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.876 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 15.54 | $0.960 | $14.91 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |