Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.08K | $0.920 | $1.01K | +$16.22 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 2.9 | $0.140 | $0.41 | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 221.89 |
| $0.916 |
| $216.79 |
| +$13.58 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 162.03 | $0.890 | $142.59 | -$1.62 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 149.54 | $0.815 | $126.74 | +$4.89 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 103.3 | $0.435 | $95.56 | +$50.57 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 82.03 | $0.890 | $78.34 | +$5.33 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 59.11 | $0.635 | $32.51 | -$5.05 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 35.7 | $0.906 | $31.68 | -$0.66 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 44.44 | $0.535 | $28.67 | +$4.89 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 62.23 | $0.580 | $28.32 | -$7.78 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 19.06 | $0.810 | $15.92 | +$0.48 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 16.37 | $0.940 | $15.64 | +$0.25 |
 Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.71 | $0.820 | $14.79 | +$1.09 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 108.59 | $0.140 | $14.66 | -$0.54 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 14.6 | $0.688 | $9.42 | -$0.62 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 10.34 | $0.750 | $8.11 | +$0.36 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 10.32 | $0.737 | $7.43 | -$0.18 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 10 | $0.440 | $4.5 | +$0.1 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 4.25 | $0.650 | $3.29 | +$0.53 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | Yes | 4.34 | $0.637 | $2.45 | -$0.31 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 2.19 | $0.960 | $2.12 | +$0.01 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.27 | $0.630 | $1.94 | +$0.51 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.830 | $1.16 | +$0.07 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.32 | $0.827 | $1.1 | +$0.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.65 | $0.702 | $0.49 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 0.07 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.01 |
| 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.150 | $0.39 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.150 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 2.57 | $0.160 | $0.41 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.420 | $1.17 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.420 | $1.82 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.330 | $1.03 | 3h ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.570 | $0.81 | 4h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 2.72 | $0.750 | $2.04 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 55.09 | $0.520 | $28.65 | 17h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.130 | $0.12 | 18h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.130 | $0 | 18h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.951 | $0.26 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.340 | $1.65 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.86 | $0.710 | $0.61 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.390 | $1.48 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.440 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.440 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.440 | $2.22 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.610 | $4.36 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.680 | $2.58 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.680 | $5.44 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.840 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.830 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 82.04 | $0.680 | $55.79 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.958 | $0.22 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.957 | $0.21 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.650 | $1.08 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.959 | $0.43 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.960 | $1.77 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.960 | $1.46 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.640 | $2.06 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.140 | $1.09 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 109.07 | $0.140 | $15.27 | 2d ago |