Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.085 | $193.44 | +$106.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.006 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.105 |
| $124 |
| +$103 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $60.95 | +$54.95 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.665 | $42 | -$157.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 995 | $0.100 | $38.31 | -$61.39 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 200 | $0.625 | $31 | -$94 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 350 | $0.160 | $27.13 | -$28.87 |
 Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.160 | $24.5 | -$31.6 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.270 | $24.35 | -$2.65 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 229.99 | $0.239 | $24.15 | -$30.85 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $14.45 | -$10.55 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.069 | $12.75 | +$5.83 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55 | $0.453 | $8.8 | -$16.1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.620 | $6.75 | -$24.25 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.056 | $6.62 | +$3.83 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $3.35 | -$16.65 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 180 | $0.041 | $3.33 | -$4.07 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 35.01 | $0.168 | $2.5 | -$3.36 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 838.07 | $0.011 | $1.26 | -$8.12 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.400 | $0.95 | -$3.05 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.820 | $0.73 | -$3.37 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $0.6 | -$1.4 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.014 | $0.53 | -$0.19 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.420 | $0.5 | -$1.6 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.810 | $0.28 | -$3.78 |
| buy |
| 29.99 |
| $0.120 |
| $3.6 |
| May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.64 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | sell | 29.5 | $0.390 | $11.51 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.354 | $26.55 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.370 | $4.68 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 22.5 | $0.370 | $8.33 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 16.94 | $0.053 | $0.9 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?No | buy | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?No | buy | 49.84 | $0.046 | $2.29 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.13 | $0.006 | $0.48 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.07 | $0.015 | $0.33 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.083 | $2.01 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 89.5 | $0.997 | $89.23 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.042 | $1.26 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.040 | $8.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.022 | $4.84 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.008 | $0.36 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 13.02 | $0.628 | $8.17 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 13.01 | $0.630 | $8.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 300 | $0.054 | $16.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.013 | $3.9 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.006 | $1.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.740 | $22.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will France join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |