Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.280 | $1.75 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 28.48 |
| $0.275 |
| $0.7 |
| -$7.14 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| buy |
| 3.7 |
| $0.270 |
| $1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 S&P 500 all time high by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.550 | $0.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.490 | $1.9 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?No | sell | 3.32 | $0.880 | $2.92 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.210 | $0.94 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.04 | $0.033 | $0.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.390 | $0.95 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.090 | $0.91 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.290 | $0.93 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.290 | $1.89 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.380 | $0.95 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?No | sell | 5.69 | $0.996 | $5.67 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.999 | $4.83 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 5.69 | $0.351 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.178 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.77 | $0.085 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.660 | $0.97 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.260 | $0.94 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.240 | $0.95 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |