Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 582.43 | $0.500 | $136.87 | -$154.34 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.49 | $0.780 | $12.08 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.6K |
| $0.074 |
| $66.31 |
| -$126.12 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.110 | $42.11 | -$77.89 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.269 | $6.75 | -$17.45 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 44.98 | $0.117 | $5.17 | -$0.09 |
| buy |
| 38.73 |
| $0.110 |
| $4.26 |
| 2d ago |
| Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 101.12 | $0.044 | $4.43 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.49 | $0.530 | $8.21 | 2d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 3.45 | $0.650 | $2.24 | 19d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 153.35 | $0.385 | $59.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.074 | $192.43 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.380 | $27.14 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 67.08 | $0.850 | $57.02 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 84.45 | $0.126 | $10.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.265 | $10.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 67.08 | $0.750 | $50.31 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.57K | $0.014 | $50 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.017 | $39 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 644.98 | $0.009 | $5.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 2.2K | $0.010 | $21.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 554.77 | $0.065 | $36 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 120 | $0.470 | $56.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.350 | $25 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 292.74 | $0.020 | $5.85 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.2K | $0.025 | $207.32 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.018 | $25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 193.35 | $0.259 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 114.44 | $0.018 | $2.06 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | sell | 73.89 | $0.028 | $2.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.69K | $0.019 | $127.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 140.79 | $0.903 | $127.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 140.8 | $0.951 | $133.87 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 391.36 | $0.190 | $74.36 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 73.89 | $0.014 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.110 | $120 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 417.88 | $0.719 | $300.3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 24.85 | $0.680 | $16.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Yes | buy | 84.76 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 65.47 | $0.360 | $23.57 | Mar 4, 2026 |