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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 276.24 | $0.181 | $46.55 | -$3.45 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 276.24 | $0.181 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10.41 |
| $0.961 |
| $10.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $9.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 14.25 | $0.702 | $9.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 13.16 | $0.380 | $7.3 | +$2.3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 13.89 | $0.360 | $6.6 | +$1.6 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 21.74 | $0.460 | $5.54 | -$4.46 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | No | 83.33 | $0.120 | $3.79 | -$6.21 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 92.59 | $0.054 | $3.19 | -$1.81 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.31 | $0.942 | $3.07 | -$1.93 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 86.06 | $0.058 | $2.8 | -$2.2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.900 | $1.92 | -$3.08 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | No | 56.78 | $0.088 | $1.79 | -$3.21 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $1.72 | -$3.28 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 625 | $0.008 | $0.94 | -$4.06 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.850 | $0.85 | -$4.15 |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.010 | $0.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.008 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
 Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 625 | $0.008 | $0.31 | -$4.69 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.58 | $0.019 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.008 | $0.13 | -$1.87 |
| buy |
| 10.41 |
| $0.961 |
| $10 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 14.25 | $0.702 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.64 | $0.342 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.299 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.58 | $0.019 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 56.78 | $0.088 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 53.03 | $0.943 | $50 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 128.53 | $0.778 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 128.53 | $0.778 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 12.36K | $0.072 | $892.84 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 10.88K | $0.080 | $866.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.007 | $8.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 245.09 | $0.042 | $10.19 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 127.45 | $0.090 | $11.47 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.080 | $16.67 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic + OpenAI | sell | 168 | $0.390 | $65.55 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No | sell | 111.84 | $0.940 | $105.13 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 812.58 | $0.594 | $482.67 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.930 | $110.71 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 11.5K | $0.009 | $103.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.078 | $106.82 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.085 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.054 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |