Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 6.6K | $0.003 | $19.81 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 29.56 |
| $0.670 |
| $19.81 |
| Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 726.67 | $0.003 | $2.18 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 18?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3.5 or more on Oct 18?Yes | sell | 281.16 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 18?Yes | sell | 448 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?Yes | buy | 29.56 | $0.610 | $18.03 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 30-34 times October 11-18?No | sell | 19.29 | $0.935 | $18.04 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 150-174 October 11-18?Yes | buy | 95.35 | $0.200 | $19.07 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.570 | $9.69 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 150-174 October 11-18?Yes | sell | 52.1 | $0.180 | $9.38 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?Yes | buy | 3.84 | $0.450 | $1.73 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18?Yes | sell | 433.39 | $0.004 | $1.73 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.370 | $0.87 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 217.5 | $0.004 | $0.87 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 150-174 October 11-18?Yes | buy | 52.11 | $0.380 | $19.8 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 40 or more times October 11-18?Yes | sell | 61.87 | $0.320 | $19.8 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 40 or more times October 11-18?Yes | buy | 61.87 | $0.370 | $22.89 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?No | sell | 24.18 | $0.947 | $22.89 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 30-34 times October 11-18?No | buy | 19.29 | $0.720 | $13.89 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 356.47 | $0.014 | $4.83 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 448 | $0.004 | $2 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 344.82 | $0.020 | $6.83 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.740 | $17.9 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 217.5 | $0.008 | $1.74 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.003 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "god" 10 or more times during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.002 | $10 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3.5 or more on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 281.17 | $0.007 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Reagan" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Reagan" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 508.06 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "too big to rig" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 819.38 | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "hurricane" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Oct 13, 2024 |