Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 40.36 |
| $0.991 |
| $40 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.58 | $0.981 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 40.87 | $0.979 | $40 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.81 | $0.962 | $18.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.840 | $11.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.12 | $0.980 | $30.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 25.73 | $0.999 | $25.7 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.982 | $6.9 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.940 | $6.9 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.969 | $9.6 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 33.64 | $0.220 | $7.4 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.28 | $0.991 | $9.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.967 | $9.9 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.929 | $9.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.994 | $9.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 12.8 | $0.930 | $11.9 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.963 | $14 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.42 | $0.963 | $11 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | sell | 13.02 | $0.944 | $12.29 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.999 | $7.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 13.03 | $0.760 | $9.9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.974 | $14.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Unknown’s Mystery Model win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Yes | buy | 13.32 | $0.961 | $12.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.930 | $10.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Makalé Camara win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.908 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?No | buy | 18.82 | $0.850 | $16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.984 | $12 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 21.12 | $0.890 | $18.8 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.983 | $12.2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?No | buy | 8.68 | $0.945 | $8.2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | buy | 14.91 | $0.999 | $14.9 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.974 | $20.1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?No | buy | 17.17 | $0.984 | $16.9 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?No | buy | 19.39 | $0.980 | $19 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 59.81 | $0.970 | $58.02 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Patriots vs. BillsBills | buy | 26.27 | $0.790 | $20.75 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Titans vs. CardinalsCardinals | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Raiders vs. ColtsColts | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 59.81 | $0.948 | $56.7 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Wolves win on 2025-08-16?No | buy | 127.34 | $0.860 | $109.51 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 FDA approves UX111?No | sell | 42.12 | $0.992 | $41.78 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | sell | 62.76 | $0.986 | $61.9 | Aug 16, 2025 |