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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 3.3K | $0.230 | $560.52 | -$197.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 3.3K | $0.230 | $758.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 160 |
| $0.850 |
| $136.96 |
| +$1.01 |
Elon Bull Run Combo | No | 53.2 | $0.830 | $48.6 | +$4.44 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.098 | $23.2 | +$7.6 |
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 53.2 | $0.049 | $0.9 | -$1.71 |
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 53.2 | $0.017 | $0.45 | -$0.45 |
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 53.2 | $0.076 | $0.08 | -$3.96 |
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 53.2 | $0.018 | $0.05 | -$0.92 |
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 53.2 | $0.035 | $0.03 | -$1.85 |
| buy |
| 191 |
| $0.075 |
| $14.33 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the World Cup?No | buy | 191 | $0.910 | $173.81 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 487 | $0.660 | $321.42 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No | buy | 487.32 | $0.309 | $150.53 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will South Korea win the World Cup?No | buy | 250 | $0.989 | $247.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 195 | $0.830 | $161.85 | May 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 39.78 | $0.840 | $33.42 | May 13, 2026 |
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.8 | $0.150 | $5.97 | May 13, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 69 | $0.840 | $57.96 | May 13, 2026 |
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.141 | $9.74 | May 13, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 134.66 | $0.840 | $113.11 | May 13, 2026 |
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 134.66 | $0.150 | $20.2 | May 13, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 618.67 | $0.021 | $12.99 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.460 | $15.18 | Apr 26, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.550 | $18.15 | Apr 26, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 241.82 | $0.550 | $133 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | buy | 242 | $0.460 | $111.32 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | buy | 336 | $0.530 | $178.08 | Apr 26, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 335.86 | $0.480 | $161.21 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No | buy | 70 | $0.160 | $11.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?No | buy | 69.5 | $0.825 | $57.34 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No | buy | 138 | $0.160 | $22.08 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?No | buy | 136.06 | $0.824 | $112.11 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No | buy | 131 | $0.160 | $20.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?No | buy | 129.64 | $0.824 | $106.81 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?Yes | buy | 92.56 | $0.138 | $12.74 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | buy | 87.78 | $0.840 | $73.74 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | buy | 245.3 | $0.840 | $205.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?Yes | buy | 228.24 | $0.129 | $29.44 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.2 | $0.076 | $4.04 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Elon Bull Run ComboNo | buy | 53.2 | $0.830 | $44.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.2 | $0.049 | $2.62 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.2 | $0.035 | $1.88 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.2 | $0.018 | $0.97 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.2 | $0.017 | $0.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.850 | $135.95 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.098 | $15.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.954 | $152.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.031 | $5.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.954 | $250.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.025 | $2.83 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.024 | $3.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 443.3 | $0.954 | $422.7 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 443.35 | $0.021 | $9.13 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 241 | $0.420 | $101.22 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 241 | $0.276 | $66.57 | Mar 27, 2026 |