Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.060 | $120 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.34K |
| $0.090 |
| $120.6 |
| Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.012 | $21.36 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.039 | $38.81 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.023 | $80.5 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.180 | $603 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.059 | $0.3 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.015 | $45 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will the US add less than 50k jobs in March?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in March?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.024 | $1.44 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in March?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.041 | $16.32 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.011 | $4.37 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.029 | $29.08 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.069 | $3.45 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.060 | $48 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.064 | $22.4 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.150 | $27 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.460 | $230 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 493 | $0.120 | $59.16 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will US add between 250k and 300k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 166.66 | $0.863 | $143.83 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain beat RB Salzburg?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will François Baroin be the next French Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.034 | $10.09 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will François Baroin be the next French Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 225 | $0.030 | $6.75 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 565.4 | $0.370 | $209.2 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 852.64 | $0.251 | $214.19 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 843.86 | $0.036 | $30.24 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.031 | $0.27 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No | buy | 145.99 | $0.685 | $100 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 100 | $0.091 | $9.1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?No | buy | 250 | $0.880 | $220 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will the US add more than 250,000 jobs in October?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No | buy | 114.08 | $0.877 | $100 | Oct 24, 2024 |