Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 303.31 | $0.247 | $43.98 | -$31.02 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.166 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 173.2 |
| $0.289 |
| $26.85 |
| -$23.15 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 103.93 | $0.337 | $15.38 | -$19.62 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 59.15 | $0.423 | $12.13 | -$12.87 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 391.57 | $0.128 | $7.24 | -$42.76 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 83.88 | $0.179 | $2.81 | -$12.19 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $5 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 32.71 | $0.306 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.580 | $60 | May 30, 2026 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Yes | sell | 33.49 | $0.004 | $0.13 | May 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | May 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | May 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.519 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.49 | $0.149 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 73.81 | $0.406 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.21 | $0.424 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.340 | $40 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 391.57 | $0.128 | $50 | Apr 11, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.57 | $0.610 | $40 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 105.5 | $0.100 | $10.55 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.230 | $30 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.98 | $0.560 | $1.67 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 113.33 | $0.009 | $1.02 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 118.88 | $0.009 | $1.07 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | buy | 125.55 | $0.009 | $1.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |