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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 13d ago |
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| No |
| 1.43 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.31 |
| +$0.31 |
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 2.17 | $0.460 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.017 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
| buy |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $1 |
| 13d ago |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.850 | $1.05 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.759 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.830 | $1.43 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.768 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.680 | $1.51 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the fundraiser?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the US strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.998 | $1.29 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.016 | $0.03 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |