Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.007 | $140.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.34K |
| $0.013 |
| $56.46 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.49K | $0.023 | $56.46 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.54K | $0.012 | $69.04 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.067 | $67 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.034 | $83.74 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.070 | $70 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02K | $0.017 | $102.34 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.020 | $47.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.020 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.19K | $0.016 | $182 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 162.54 | $0.030 | $4.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 145 | $0.530 | $76.85 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 69.94 | $0.510 | $35.67 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 647.51 | $0.480 | $310.8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.015 | $7.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 300 | $0.784 | $235.32 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | sell | 75 | $0.520 | $39 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.230 | $13.8 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 75 | $0.520 | $39 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.750 | $225 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 189.77 | $0.140 | $26.57 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes | buy | 180.34 | $0.009 | $1.58 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 145 | $0.820 | $118.9 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.037 | $37 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 94.3 | $0.610 | $57.52 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 24.12 | $0.560 | $13.51 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 332.99 | $0.220 | $73.26 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.460 | $184 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 114.96 | $0.006 | $0.69 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.540 | $216 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 India unbans TikTok by December 31?Yes | sell | 298.08 | $0.020 | $5.96 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| India unbans TikTok by December 31?Yes | sell | 402.57 | $0.030 | $12.08 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.460 | $115 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?Yes | sell | 100.7 | $0.120 | $12.08 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.860 | $15.48 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 118.7 | $0.870 | $103.27 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 103.27 | $0.320 | $33.05 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.61K | $0.005 | $33.05 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.29K | $0.014 | $33.05 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 908.79 | $0.220 | $199.93 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.81K | $0.047 | $178.97 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | sell | 436.84 | $0.048 | $20.97 | Sep 30, 2025 |