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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 13?Down | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Feb 13, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.560 |
| $112 |
| Feb 13, 2026 |
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 12?Down | buy | 195 | $0.490 | $95.55 | Feb 12, 2026 |
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on February 10?Down | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 9?Up | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 9?Down | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Feb 9, 2026 |
XRP Up or Down on February 8?Down | buy | 110 | $0.500 | $55 | Feb 7, 2026 |
XRP Up or Down on February 8?Down | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.138 | $6.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.144 | $4.32 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.138 | $6.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.138 | $6.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.139 | $6.95 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.139 | $6.95 | Feb 7, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?Down | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Feb 6, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?Down | buy | 150 | $0.520 | $78 | Feb 6, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?Down | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 12.17 | $0.986 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.04 | $0.999 | $42 | Jan 13, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.48 | $0.937 | $22 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.971 | $97.12 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December?No | buy | 22.07 | $0.997 | $22 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.998 | $10.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.941 | $10.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 5 above $260?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.999 | $5.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.999 | $5.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.999 | $5.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.999 | $5.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.993 | $5.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.985 | $5.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.984 | $5.41 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.994 | $11.93 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | Jan 6, 2026 |
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.350 | $105 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?No | buy | 153.1 | $0.740 | $113.29 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 644 | $0.080 | $51.52 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.016 | $22.43 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 455 | $0.025 | $11.38 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 475.69 | $0.950 | $451.91 | Dec 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.060 | $69.6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 419.5 | $0.100 | $41.95 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 71.5 | $0.060 | $4.29 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 71.5 | $0.080 | $5.72 | Dec 6, 2025 |