Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.66 | $0.985 | $4.59 | Nov 25, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.21 |
| $0.969 |
| $2.14 |
| Jul 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 182.19 | $0.469 | $85.53 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 95.84 | $0.851 | $81.56 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 95.84 | $0.969 | $92.87 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 99.18 | $0.989 | $98.09 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.980 | $1.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 77.4 | $0.997 | $77.17 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 77.4 | $0.998 | $77.25 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 77.67 | $0.997 | $77.44 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 77.68 | $0.998 | $77.52 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 77.77 | $0.997 | $77.54 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 77.77 | $0.998 | $77.61 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 77.2 | $0.997 | $76.97 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 77.19 | $0.998 | $77.04 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 450–474 times June 6–13?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.998 | $14.58 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 81.04 | $0.996 | $80.72 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 81.04 | $0.997 | $80.8 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 91.1 | $0.996 | $90.74 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 91.1 | $0.997 | $90.83 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.999 | $2.89 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 80.47 | $0.997 | $80.23 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 80.47 | $0.998 | $80.31 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 12.11 | $0.999 | $12.1 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 78.74 | $0.996 | $78.43 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 78.75 | $0.997 | $78.51 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.999 | $8.25 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 97.47 | $0.998 | $97.28 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 97.48 | $0.999 | $97.38 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.997 | $2.98 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.998 | $1.61 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 91.5 | $0.999 | $91.41 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 73.51 | $0.987 | $72.55 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.995 | $4.9 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 73.52 | $0.995 | $73.15 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.999 | $11.78 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 341 | $0.020 | $6.82 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.993 | $1.77 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.997 | $6.65 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 44.84 | $0.999 | $44.8 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 43.38 | $0.999 | $43.34 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.997 | $1.61 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 43.37 | $0.999 | $43.33 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 41.21 | $0.997 | $41.09 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.998 | $5.41 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 41.21 | $0.998 | $41.13 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 45.65 | $0.997 | $45.51 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Kelvin Banks Jr. be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.999 | $5.48 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 45.65 | $0.998 | $45.56 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 35.57 | $0.997 | $35.46 | Apr 19, 2025 |