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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Sep 27, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.16 |
| $0.860 |
| $1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.887 | $2 | Sep 26, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Kimmel say "Autism" during return show on September 23?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.875 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.874 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.889 | $6 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.850 | $1.7 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 1?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.857 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.999 | $3.84 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.932 | $8 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 712.25 | $0.702 | $500 | Nov 2, 2024 |
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 286.94 | $0.697 | $200 | Nov 2, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.689 | $689 | Oct 18, 2024 |