Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.727 | $15.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 25.64 |
| $0.440 |
| $11.28 |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
 Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.012 | $0.13 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.017 | $0.09 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.012 | $0.07 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.011 | $0.16 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.011 | $0.18 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.012 | $0.11 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.880 | $5.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?No | sell | 10.09 | $0.970 | $9.79 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 15.5 | $0.323 | $5.01 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.668 | $5.01 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.636 | $1.11 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.330 | $3.8 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?No | sell | 13.5 | $0.372 | $5.02 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.557 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 39.68 | $0.126 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.434 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.108 | $5.02 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.961 | $1.21 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by October 31?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.001 | $0 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.572 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 21.52 | $0.930 | $20.01 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.160 | $2.28 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.930 | $11.63 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.426 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?No | buy | 14.62 | $0.342 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |