Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | Yes | 284.09 | $0.880 | $248.58 | -$1.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.65K |
| $0.029 |
| $229.55 |
| +$36.37 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.138 | $97.6 | -$52.06 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 52.73K | $0.005 | $79.1 | -$175.75 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 99.97 | $0.574 | $74.48 | +$17.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 73.19 | $0.760 | $62.58 | +$6.93 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7.48K | $0.008 | $56.1 | -$3.74 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 74.69 | $0.562 | $54.15 | +$12.15 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 766.34 | $0.047 | $49.43 | +$13.21 |
 Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 18.14K | $0.007 | $45.35 | -$91.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 44.89 | $0.610 | $29.4 | +$2.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 59.85 | $0.334 | $27.44 | +$7.44 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.99 | $0.690 | $27.39 | +$7.39 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 106.88 | $0.234 | $24.05 | -$0.95 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 66.94 | $0.389 | $23.53 | -$2.53 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 19.99 | $0.850 | $19.22 | +$2.23 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 268.72 | $0.090 | $17.47 | -$6.72 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $13.26 | +$8.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 19.19 | $0.607 | $12.57 | +$0.93 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 12.91 | $0.697 | $12.24 | +$3.24 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 398.38 | $0.028 | $9.36 | -$1.96 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 8.71 | $0.918 | $8.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 8.55 | $0.910 | $7.99 | +$0.21 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 184.37 | $0.015 | $7.65 | +$4.85 |
| buy |
| 3.05 |
| $0.910 |
| $2.78 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.200 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.480 | $1.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.615 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.590 | $0.68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 10.47 | $0.590 | $6.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.022 | $1.32 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.48 | $0.570 | $1.41 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 79.62 | $0.026 | $2.04 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.630 | $0.94 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 186.15 | $0.026 | $4.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.07 | $0.590 | $9.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.07 | $0.630 | $9.49 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.3 | $0.630 | $5.23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.590 | $4.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 5.54 | $0.570 | $3.16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.570 | $1.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.950 | $1.56 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.01 | $0.238 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 108.05 | $0.090 | $9.72 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.940 | $1.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.090 | $0.46 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.090 | $0.18 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.780 | $3.37 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |