Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 92.17 | $0.353 | $42.63 | +$10.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.985 | $2.51 | 5h ago |
| Yes |
| 11.84 |
| $0.941 |
| $3.91 |
| -$7.23 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.692 | $2.8 | +$0.79 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.078 | $2.7 | +$2.2 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.985 | $2.39 | -$0.12 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.21 | $0.830 | $1.18 | +$0.17 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.003 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10.3 | $0.097 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $0.45 | -$1.55 |
 Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes| buy |
| 1.61 |
| $0.620 |
| $1 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.413 | $2.07 | 2d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.082 | $0.39 | 2d ago |
| Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.870 | $1.14 | 5d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.16 | $0.353 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.266 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.266 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.101 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.016 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Yes | sell | 12.23 | $0.100 | $1.22 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10.3 | $0.097 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.281 | $1.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.256 | $1.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.986 | $1.33 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | sell | 21.53 | $0.103 | $2.23 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.282 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.282 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.930 | $3.29 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 30.08 | $0.033 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |