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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.32K | $0.002 | $8.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5.83K |
| $0.006 |
| $35 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.71K | $0.003 | $26.13 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.33K | $0.003 | $55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 659.6 | $0.020 | $13.35 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.005 | $7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 640.75 | $0.078 | $50.16 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $9.99 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 699.52 | $0.042 | $29.7 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Yes | buy | 442.86 | $0.070 | $31 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.014 | $24.78 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.4 | $0.520 | $96.41 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.022 | $44 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 587.65 | $0.022 | $12.71 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 105.86 | $0.120 | $12.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.009 | $20.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 846.48 | $0.015 | $12.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 105.85 | $0.120 | $12.7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 251.43 | $0.070 | $17.6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.540 | $17.6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.29 | $0.070 | $5.97 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.490 | $15.97 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 559.06 | $0.019 | $10.81 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 458.33 | $0.060 | $27.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 211.71 | $0.140 | $29.64 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.21 | $0.530 | $34.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |