Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 740.74 | $0.540 | $351.85 | -$48.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 830.13 | $0.593 | $492.11 | Jul 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 740.74 |
| $0.540 |
| $400 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 386.65 | $0.046 | $17.76 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 386.66 | $0.388 | $150 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?Yes | buy | 497.8 | $0.703 | $350 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?Yes | buy | 186.74 | $0.107 | $19.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.018 | $43.22 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.018 | $21.6 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 260.17 | $0.130 | $33.82 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 423.28 | $0.701 | $296.79 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 321.01 | $0.320 | $102.72 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 530.53 | $0.240 | $127.33 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 316.7 | $0.632 | $200 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 413.99 | $0.145 | $60 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 376.18 | $0.213 | $80 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 537.5 | $0.186 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?Yes | buy | 315.79 | $0.190 | $60 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 580.45 | $0.103 | $60 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.008 | $8.36 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No | sell | 338 | $0.014 | $4.8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No | buy | 323.78 | $0.463 | $150 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No | buy | 14.22 | $0.370 | $5.26 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.050 | $0.97 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 937.5 | $0.320 | $300 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 571.43 | $0.140 | $80 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 608.96 | $0.670 | $408 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 530.54 | $0.754 | $400 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 600.35 | $0.666 | $400 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 418.25 | $0.143 | $60 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 476.45 | $0.126 | $60 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 368.73 | $0.163 | $60 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No | buy | 894.78 | $0.671 | $600 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 642.03 | $0.779 | $500 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.700 | $525 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 78.66 | $0.690 | $54.28 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 85.73 | $0.470 | $40.29 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 32.97 | $0.180 | $5.93 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.010 | $14.9 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.197 | $400 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.800 | $1.04K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.770 | $1K | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.246 | $300 | Jun 10, 2025 |