Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.042 | $8.4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 74.61 |
| $0.041 |
| $3.06 |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.120 | $36 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Yes | buy | 172.89 | $0.590 | $102.01 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes | buy | 101.41 | $0.400 | $40.56 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.460 | $3.43 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 13.21 | $0.720 | $9.51 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 106.24 | $0.828 | $87.98 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 61.89 | $0.730 | $45.18 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.671 | $167.72 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 527.15 | $0.730 | $384.82 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Yes | sell | 33.69 | $0.360 | $12.13 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | sell | 416.48 | $0.967 | $402.76 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.75 | $0.100 | $4.18 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | buy | 416.48 | $0.875 | $364.4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?Yes | sell | 17.99 | $0.090 | $1.62 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 28-30 ET?Yes | buy | 447.87 | $0.247 | $110.57 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 182.77 | $0.480 | $87.73 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | sell | 764.37 | $0.115 | $87.73 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 764.38 | $0.064 | $48.92 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 974.14 | $0.049 | $48.14 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | sell | 777.78 | $0.001 | $0.78 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 187.47 | $0.150 | $28.12 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | sell | 93.75 | $0.300 | $28.13 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 189.2 | $0.440 | $83.25 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 107.34 | $0.440 | $47.23 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | sell | 112.47 | $0.420 | $47.24 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 112.47 | $0.590 | $66.36 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | sell | 150.36 | $0.441 | $66.36 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "garbage" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?No | buy | 22.83 | $0.120 | $2.74 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.451 | $67.59 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | buy | 78.36 | $0.330 | $25.86 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 100.02 | $0.470 | $47 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.330 | $73.26 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.260 | $0.02 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Will two members of The Squad lose their primaries?No | sell | 3.21 | $0.006 | $0.02 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | buy | 443.33 | $0.003 | $1.33 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | sell | 10.02 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.190 | $0.73 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | buy | 516.67 | $0.003 | $1.55 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.100 | $1.55 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | buy | 270 | $0.044 | $11.88 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.310 | $4.65 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Hezbollah enters Israel in August?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.046 | $7.23 | Aug 25, 2024 |