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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 403.36 | $0.930 | $381.58 | +$6.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No | buy | 403.36 | $0.930 | $375 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.01 |
| $0.886 |
| $2.45 |
| -$0.22 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.980 | $1.93 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 43.62 |
| $0.380 |
| $16.58 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 300 | $0.985 | $295.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 59 | $0.965 | $56.93 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Hayden Davis in jail in 2025?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.859 | $8.1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | sell | 9.68 | $0.963 | $9.32 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?No | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?No | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | sell | 21.26 | $0.965 | $20.52 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.982 | $21.6 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?No | sell | 30.04 | $0.959 | $28.81 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No | sell | 30.45 | $0.961 | $29.26 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?No | sell | 33.66 | $0.964 | $32.44 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo sign with a new club during the transfer window?No | sell | 18.99 | $0.987 | $18.75 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.951 | $47.55 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the New York Giants win the NFC East?No | sell | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Drake release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.29 | $0.943 | $14.42 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?No | sell | 15.17 | $0.966 | $14.65 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | sell | 11.64 | $0.933 | $10.86 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?No | sell | 30 | $0.938 | $28.14 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?No | sell | 10 | $0.926 | $9.26 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 19.68 | $0.420 | $8.27 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris divorce in 2025?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.976 | $4.97 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 21.01 | $0.930 | $19.54 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?No | sell | 10.62 | $0.969 | $10.29 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?No | sell | 27 | $0.567 | $15.3 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.62 | $0.405 | $12 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?Yes | sell | 47.56 | $0.105 | $4.99 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Mark Cuban join the America Party?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.951 | $28.52 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?No | sell | 14.06 | $0.981 | $13.79 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.951 | $9.5 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?No | sell | 11.99 | $0.966 | $11.58 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody by August 31?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.966 | $19.3 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.629 | $3.15 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.994 | $49.69 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 12.52 | $0.996 | $12.47 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.795 | $7.97 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.913 | $18.26 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?No | sell | 10.68 | $0.929 | $9.92 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?No | sell | 10 | $0.933 | $9.33 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.953 | $9.52 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.945 | $9.45 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Nico Williams sign with a new club during the transfer window?No | sell | 28.97 | $0.990 | $28.68 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.981 | $5.82 | Aug 9, 2025 |