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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.12K | $0.819 | $35.83 | -$4.15K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?Yes | buy | 668.13 | $0.015 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 44.78 |
| $0.670 |
| $30 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.1 | $0.617 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.79K | $0.834 | $4K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 4.2K | $0.993 | $4.17K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.08 | $0.510 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 654.9 | $0.779 | $510 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.099 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.977 | $31.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 137.55 | $0.727 | $100 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 133.69 | $0.748 | $100 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 152.02 | $0.658 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.35 | $0.890 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 329.87 | $0.962 | $317.2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 85.21 | $0.699 | $59.59 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 329.88 | $0.909 | $300 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 165.39 | $0.907 | $150 | May 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 418.41 | $0.388 | $162.53 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 418.41 | $0.239 | $100 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.005 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 144.89 | $0.207 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.69K | $0.813 | $3K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 3.72K | $0.988 | $3.68K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 3.72K | $0.900 | $3.35K | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Yes | buy | 45.29 | $0.920 | $41.67 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 15?No | buy | 41.83 | $0.982 | $41.08 | Apr 14, 2026 |