Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 391.82 | $0.251 | $27.43 | -$70.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 68.02 | $0.185 | $12.58 | Jul 1, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 66.67 |
| $0.300 |
| $14 |
| -$6 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.057 | $9.3 | -$2.1 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 69.22 | $0.592 | $7.96 | -$33.04 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.240 | $6.44 | -$24.77 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 59.31 | $0.160 | $3.26 | -$6.23 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 109.99 | $0.140 | $2.03 | -$13.36 |
| sell |
| 36.45 |
| $0.332 |
| $12.1 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 96.94 | $0.100 | $9.69 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.237 | $26.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.071 | $7.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.950 | $12.18 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 160 | $0.994 | $159.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 36.46 | $0.192 | $7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 68.03 | $0.147 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 71.94 | $0.139 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.057 | $11.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.78 | $0.068 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 107.9 | $0.278 | $30 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.06 | $0.664 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.999 | $35.67 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 72.54 | $0.414 | $30 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 98.32 | $0.407 | $40 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 122.87 | $0.407 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.32 | $0.406 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.68 | $0.405 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.63 | $0.406 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.339 | $54.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.54 | $0.103 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.82 | $0.196 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 324.08 | $0.031 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | May 29, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.992 | $29.76 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 244.31 | $0.270 | $65.96 | May 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 160 | $0.610 | $97.6 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 310 | $0.320 | $99.2 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.610 | $213.5 | May 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 501.37 | $0.975 | $488.84 | May 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.360 | $12.96 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 46.6 | $0.129 | $6.01 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 204.6 | $0.004 | $0.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 304.61 | $0.350 | $106.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 430 | $0.539 | $231.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 155 | $0.538 | $83.39 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.157 | $3.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Apr 5, 2026 |