Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 37.68 | $0.680 | $5.46 | -$20.16 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Yes | sell | 49.1 | $0.200 | $9.82 | Mar 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 69.1 |
| $0.897 |
| $61.98 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 173.38 | $0.577 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 161.98 | $0.630 | $102.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.25 | $0.998 | $102.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.25 | $0.200 | $20.45 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 289.64 | $0.440 | $127.44 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 289.64 | $0.420 | $121.65 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | sell | 146.56 | $0.830 | $121.64 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 15.44 | $0.900 | $13.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 694.99 | $0.020 | $13.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 96.53 | $0.890 | $85.91 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Mariners vs. Blue JaysMariners | buy | 47.26 | $0.890 | $42.06 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Yes | sell | 10.91 | $0.380 | $4.15 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.900 | $14.99 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.700 | $7.64 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No | sell | 213.95 | $0.987 | $211.17 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 211.11 | $0.940 | $198.44 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Ripple ETF approved in 2025?Yes | sell | 69.84 | $0.854 | $59.66 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Ripple ETF approved in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.16 | $0.870 | $26.24 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?No | buy | 300 | $0.027 | $8.1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 240 | $0.905 | $217.2 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No | buy | 110 | $0.960 | $105.6 | May 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.979 | $195.8 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.979 | $18.6 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.860 | $21.5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?No | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.860 | $129 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Ye banned on X in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?No | sell | 191.23 | $0.991 | $189.51 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.973 | $146.01 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.650 | $2.34 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.930 | $101.37 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 300.77 | $0.700 | $210.54 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.957 | $210.54 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 153.69 | $0.700 | $107.58 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 104.89 | $0.978 | $102.58 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Yes | buy | 13.32 | $0.900 | $11.99 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "weave" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?No | buy | 49.3 | $0.650 | $32.05 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Yes | sell | 35.14 | $0.992 | $34.86 | Oct 19, 2024 |