Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 166.67 | $0.180 | $19.17 | -$10.83 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 111.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $3.72 |
| -$6.28 |
| buy |
| 153.85 |
| $0.260 |
| $40 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.024 | $4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 166.29 | $0.890 | $148 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 51.8 | $0.386 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.100 | $4.55 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.077 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 63.44 | $0.315 | $20 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.982 | $31.68 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | sell | 70.46 | $0.993 | $69.97 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 294.44 | $0.990 | $291.5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 185.93 | $0.004 | $0.74 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?No | sell | 78.12 | $0.002 | $0.16 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?No | buy | 252.04 | $0.397 | $100 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 79.76 | $0.880 | $70.19 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.042 | $10 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 173.98 | $0.057 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 185.94 | $0.108 | $20 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will the Greens be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 79.76 | $0.627 | $50 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 294.44 | $0.340 | $100 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 70.46 | $0.710 | $50 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 83.31 | $0.420 | $34.99 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 367.12 | $0.041 | $15 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 303.54 | $0.280 | $84.99 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.010 | $15 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 110.17 | $0.290 | $31.95 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Yes | buy | 240.38 | $0.104 | $25 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.090 | $25 | Sep 30, 2024 |