Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.915 | $196.9 | +$13.9 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| No |
| 51.63 |
| $0.963 |
| $51.24 |
| +$1.54 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.910 | $31.13 | -$14.38 |
| buy |
| 20.54 |
| $0.487 |
| $10 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.926 | $46.3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.133 | $26.67 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | May 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.294 | $29.4 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.134 | $13.4 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | May 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.978 | $88.02 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.880 | $72.16 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.572 | $28.6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 27 | $0.951 | $25.68 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?No | buy | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.981 | $49.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.961 | $96.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No | buy | 45.76 | $0.960 | $43.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |