Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 520.76 | $0.092 | $23.69 | -$24.22 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.024 | $50 | May 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 783.13 |
| $0.080 |
| $18.4 |
| -$44.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.240 | $11.46 | -$38.54 |
| buy |
| 520.76 |
| $0.092 |
| $47.91 |
| May 8, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | buy | 783.13 | $0.080 | $62.65 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.026 | $37.57 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.068 | $100 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.654 | $436.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.450 | $300 | Sep 18, 2024 |