Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.996 | $1.37 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.22 |
| $0.930 |
| $2.99 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.950 | $1.07 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 24?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.990 | $1.59 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 3.27 | $0.999 | $3.27 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 24?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 24?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Mitch McConnell attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 24?No | buy | 2 | $0.920 | $1.84 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.999 | $6.4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 23?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.990 | $1.12 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.999 | $2.54 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 23?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.104 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.723 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 24?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 24?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 23?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 24?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.830 | $3.69 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 23?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.999 | $2.56 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 23?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.998 | $1.46 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on February 23?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 23?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.998 | $2.12 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 5.62 | $0.930 | $5.23 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.640 | $1.86 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.720 | $1.33 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 23?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on February 24?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on February 24?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on February 24?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |