Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.995 | $5.33 | Dec 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5.72 |
| $0.963 |
| $5.51 |
| Jul 27, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.983 | $7.57 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 450–474 times June 6–13?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.999 | $10.14 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 7.72 | $0.999 | $7.71 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.999 | $7.35 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 115.35 | $0.991 | $114.31 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.999 | $5.77 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 115.35 | $0.992 | $114.43 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 110.41 | $0.997 | $110.08 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 7.73 | $0.998 | $7.71 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 110.41 | $0.998 | $110.19 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 109.65 | $0.993 | $108.88 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 109.66 | $0.994 | $109 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.994 | $6.29 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 78.41 | $0.999 | $78.33 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 87.36 | $0.992 | $86.66 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.999 | $4.36 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 87.36 | $0.993 | $86.75 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.966 | $5.07 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 102.62 | $0.993 | $101.9 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will PDP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.995 | $8.09 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 102.63 | $0.994 | $102.01 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 57.78 | $0.018 | $1.04 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.997 | $1.62 | May 5, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.65 | $0.999 | $9.64 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 36.89 | $0.997 | $36.78 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.997 | $36.92 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 47.43 | $0.997 | $47.29 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.996 | $5.38 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 36.89 | $0.998 | $36.82 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 37.03 | $0.998 | $36.96 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 47.43 | $0.998 | $47.34 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.999 | $5.4 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 48.21 | $0.999 | $48.16 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Green Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 48.74 | $0.999 | $48.69 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.999 | $10.36 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.999 | $4.62 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.995 | $8.17 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?No | buy | 8.22 | $0.997 | $8.2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.992 | $5.13 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the Green Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 48.75 | $0.999 | $48.7 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 48.22 | $0.999 | $48.17 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 55.14 | $0.998 | $55.03 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 72.02 | $0.995 | $71.66 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 55.15 | $0.999 | $55.09 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 72.02 | $0.999 | $71.95 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 95.72 | $0.999 | $95.62 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Masters?No | buy | 13.22 | $0.994 | $13.14 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 95.73 | $0.999 | $95.63 | Apr 11, 2025 |