Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 51.7K | $0.997 | $51.54K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.23K |
| $0.996 |
| $1.22K |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 28.92K | $0.997 | $28.83K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.24K | $0.997 | $2.23K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 40.93K | $0.997 | $40.8K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 109.45K | $0.996 | $109.01K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 7.83K | $0.992 | $7.76K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 123.94 | $0.740 | $91.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.6 | $0.758 | $8.79 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.994 | $2.33K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.17K | $0.994 | $7.13K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.63K | $0.994 | $2.61K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.37K | $0.992 | $7.31K | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 275 | $0.750 | $206.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05?No | buy | 211 | $0.950 | $200.45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 67.23K | $0.986 | $66.28K | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.75K | $0.984 | $20.42K | Jun 5, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 600.11K | $0.997 | $598.31K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 852.8 | $0.005 | $4.26 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 20K | $0.003 | $60 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 112.52 | $0.099 | $11.14 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 807 | $0.157 | $126.37 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 105.55 | $0.116 | $12.24 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 7.18K | $0.081 | $582.86 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.3K | $0.973 | $4.19K | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 34.31K | $0.978 | $33.56K | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 11.11K | $0.977 | $10.85K | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 894.47 | $0.951 | $850.62 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 2.64K | $0.954 | $2.52K | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 96.36 | $0.958 | $92.27 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.959 | $2.52K | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.962 | $197.21 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 405 | $0.660 | $267.34 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.980 | $1.87K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.980 | $1.47K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.980 | $1.39K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.64K | $0.980 | $8.47K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.95K | $0.979 | $10.72K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.12K | $0.979 | $35.36K | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 71.31 | $0.989 | $70.53 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 7.92K | $0.989 | $7.83K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 205.04 | $0.990 | $202.99 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 5.61K | $0.989 | $5.55K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14K | $0.979 | $13.71K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.978 | $2.32K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 7.09K | $0.993 | $7.04K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.44K | $0.978 | $43.47K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.61K | $0.976 | $9.38K | May 15, 2026 |