Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.13 | $0.620 | $15.08 | +$5.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 71.43 |
| $0.070 |
| $6.46 |
| +$1.46 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.410 | $3.29 | -$6.71 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 17.65 | $0.170 | $1.06 | -$1.94 |
| buy |
| 105.15 |
| $0.951 |
| $100 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes | buy | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No | buy | 42.93 | $0.582 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 13?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?No | buy | 15.9 | $0.629 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 37.14 | $0.269 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No | sell | 30.76 | $0.910 | $27.99 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | sell | 32.89 | $0.990 | $32.57 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 57.42 | $0.978 | $56.16 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.006 | $0.75 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.210 | $6.88 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 40.16 | $0.374 | $15 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 32.89 | $0.760 | $25 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?Yes | buy | 33.67 | $0.149 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | sell | 20.76 | $0.920 | $19.1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.780 | $1.2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 119.95 | $0.977 | $117.19 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 119.96 | $0.947 | $113.6 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Trump tariffs Apple before July?No | sell | 44.44 | $0.987 | $43.86 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | sell | 77.25 | $0.890 | $68.75 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?Yes | sell | 7.57 | $0.009 | $0.07 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.030 | $0.28 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Yes | sell | 5.21 | $0.040 | $0.21 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Yes | sell | 121.95 | $0.130 | $15.85 | May 26, 2025 |
| Trump tariffs Apple before July?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.900 | $40 | May 26, 2025 |