Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 16.67 | $0.600 | $9.25 | -$0.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.650 | $1.81 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 16.28 |
| $0.570 |
| $8.06 |
| -$1.22 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.45 | $0.550 | $5.78 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.42 | $0.550 | $4.29 | -$0.89 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.93 | $0.410 | $2.73 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.240 | $2.31 | -$0.69 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 2.78 | $0.650 | $1.91 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.11 | $0.560 | $1.76 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.210 | $1.16 | -$0.52 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.600 |
| $10 |
| 8d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.710 | $1.6 | 19d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.300 | $1.71 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?Down | buy | 3.9 | $0.510 | $1.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.680 | $1.38 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.499 | $4.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.610 | $2.99 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.789 | $1.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 13.12 | $0.250 | $3.28 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?No | buy | 12.75 | $0.240 | $3.06 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 15.23 | $0.660 | $10.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.12 | $0.250 | $3.28 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.390 | $2.73 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.689 | $5.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.695 | $4.97 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.650 | $4.88 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.531 | $4.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.297 | $2.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?Down | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.690 | $4.97 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 6, 2026 |