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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.440 | $16.93 | +$6.93 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.976 | $10 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.18 |
| $0.982 |
| $10.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10.04 | +$0.04 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | No | 10.17 | $0.983 | $9.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.42 | $0.960 | $9.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $8.06 | -$1.94 |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.800 | $8 | -$2 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $4.45 | -$5.55 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 10.22 |
| $0.978 |
| $9.99 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 10.28 | $0.983 | $10.11 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.790 | $0.92 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.150 | $0.94 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.593 | $1.84 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?No | sell | 7 | $0.720 | $5.04 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?No | sell | 10.09 | $0.790 | $7.98 | 18d ago |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | 18d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 22?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.591 | $6.42 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on August 21?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 21?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 21?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 21?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 21?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.919 | $5 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 21?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.38 | $0.016 | $1 | 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 21?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | 19d ago |