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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 238.1 | $0.420 | $203.57 | +$103.57 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No | buy | 212.07 | $0.462 | $98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 314.19 |
| $0.127 |
| $7.07 |
| -$32.93 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.220 | $5.45 | -$14.55 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 142.06 | $0.211 | $2.34 | -$27.66 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.100 |
| $100 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?Yes | buy | 605.71 | $0.165 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.065 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.093 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?Yes | buy | 607.65 | $0.165 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes | buy | 361.31 | $0.277 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.087 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142.06 | $0.211 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 731.71 | $0.041 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 11.78 | $0.849 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 259.86 | $0.899 | $233.72 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.558 | $464.73 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.960 | $274.28 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | sell | 594.71 | $0.998 | $593.52 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 85.42 | $0.234 | $20 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 130 | $0.769 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.240 | $200 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 408.65 | $0.245 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.085 | $100 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 103.68 | $0.999 | $103.58 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |