Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 60.81 | $0.985 | $59.9 | Apr 12, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 33.99 |
| $0.940 |
| $31.95 |
| Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 34.35 | $0.930 | $31.95 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?Yes | sell | 209.18 | $0.125 | $26.15 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 5 | $0.905 | $4.53 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.961 | $1.26 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?Yes | buy | 153.57 | $0.989 | $151.88 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?Yes | buy | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?No | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?No | sell | 21.23 | $0.700 | $14.86 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?No | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?No | buy | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?No | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?Yes | buy | 218.33 | $0.997 | $217.68 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.52 | $0.987 | $39.99 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.14 | $0.982 | $115.03 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.694 | $3 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.983 | $24.58 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.987 | $24.68 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.969 | $43.61 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?No | buy | 30 | $0.992 | $29.76 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.991 | $9.9 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?Yes | sell | 20.19 | $0.601 | $12.13 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | sell | 12.75 | $0.680 | $8.67 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 12.76 | $0.940 | $11.99 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?Yes | buy | 20.19 | $0.885 | $17.87 | Jan 20, 2025 |