Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.17K | $0.001 | $5.17 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.67K |
| $0.003 |
| $5 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.003 | $4.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.004 | $1.12 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.028 | $3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 146.97 | $0.014 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 135.96 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 128.92 | $0.016 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 702.86 | $0.021 | $14.76 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.024 | $24.94 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.020 | $39.25 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.014 | $4 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.54K | $0.016 | $40.6 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.012 | $0.8 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.105 | $5 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?Yes | buy | 299.38 | $0.013 | $3.88 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 170.42 | $0.023 | $3.99 | May 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.55K | $0.001 | $20.55 | May 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.023 | $25 | May 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 86.67 | $0.021 | $1.82 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 126.16 | $0.164 | $20.63 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 155.94 | $0.032 | $4.99 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 55.92 | $0.120 | $6.71 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Yes | buy | 153.04 | $0.023 | $3.52 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 141.18 | $0.170 | $24 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.025 | $29.9 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 645.83 | $0.048 | $31 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 109.09 | $0.055 | $6 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.050 | $1.2 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |