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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 13.05 | $0.986 | $12.87 | 18d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 14 |
| $0.978 |
| $13.69 |
| 18d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.920 | $14.72 | 18d ago |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | 18d ago |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.982 | $15.71 | 18d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.962 | $17.32 | 18d ago |
 US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.967 | $17.41 | 18d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.981 | $17.66 | 18d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.930 | $17.67 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.951 | $18.07 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.989 | $18.79 | 18d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 22 | $0.960 | $21.12 | 18d ago |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | 18d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.996 | $23.9 | 18d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.976 | $27.33 | 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.972 | $32.08 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 33 | $0.976 | $32.21 | 18d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 61.8 | $0.981 | $60.63 | 18d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.910 | $16.38 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.956 | $17.21 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.930 | $17.67 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.964 | $17.35 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19 | $0.993 | $18.87 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.986 | $18.73 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.840 | $15.96 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 1 | $0.973 | $0.97 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.800 | $12.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.880 | $15.84 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.910 | $14.56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.915 | $9.06 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.997 | $16.95 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.988 | $10.65 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.949 | $17.08 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.957 | $13.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 11.8 | $0.978 | $11.54 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 106 | $0.997 | $105.68 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.998 | $107.78 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| US civil war in 2025?No | sell | 103 | $0.998 | $102.79 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 110 | $0.998 | $109.78 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 102 | $0.995 | $101.49 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.996 | $107.57 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 108 | $0.985 | $106.41 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.992 | $107.11 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 105 | $0.983 | $103.22 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 105 | $0.989 | $103.85 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 111 | $0.988 | $109.67 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 111 | $0.989 | $109.78 | Dec 6, 2025 |