Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.850 | $77.5 | -$7.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 25.49 | $0.946 | $24.11 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 65.49 |
| $0.941 |
| $61.56 |
| -$0.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.900 | $51.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.720 | $17.3 | +$2.9 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 15 | $0.490 | $7.88 | +$0.53 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 11.49 |
| $0.870 |
| $10 |
| 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.978 | $19.56 | 24d ago |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.680 | $9.52 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.075 | $2.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.290 | $1.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.074 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.893 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 9.58 | $0.522 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.400 | $16 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?No | buy | 35.12 | $0.870 | $30.55 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.500 | $5.49 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.61 | $0.075 | $1.02 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 7+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Yes | buy | 23.28 | $0.114 | $2.66 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 7+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Yes | buy | 36.8 | $0.101 | $3.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Team Water" at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | sell | 9.87 | $0.810 | $7.99 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | sell | 15 | $0.670 | $10.05 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Polymarket" or "Betting" at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Burger" or "Hamburger" at the NYT DealBook Summit?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.029 | $0.43 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "World Record" at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | buy | 15 | $0.930 | $13.95 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | buy | 9.87 | $0.890 | $8.78 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Team Water" at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.330 | $2.66 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.62 | $0.734 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "IPO" at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | sell | 56.39 | $0.993 | $56 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 56.4 | $0.940 | $53 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Farmer" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.770 | $19.25 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 8+ at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |