Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.14 | $0.928 | $0.14 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.370 | $29.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.350 |
| $28 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.971 | $77.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.120 | $0.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 95 | $0.899 | $85.41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 95 | $0.899 | $85.41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.930 | $85.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.260 | $29.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.058 | $4.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.058 | $4.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 114 | $0.750 | $85.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.063 | $5.23 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.150 | $24.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.049 | $0.59 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 65.1 | $0.047 | $3.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.104 | $8.53 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.090 | $5.31 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.080 | $13.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.570 | $73.53 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 153 | $0.460 | $70.38 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.017 | $0.07 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 89 | $0.985 | $87.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.240 | $5.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 17 | $0.570 | $9.69 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 154 | $0.540 | $83.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 87 | $0.951 | $82.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.065 | $13.78 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.067 | $7.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 70 | $0.970 | $67.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 79 | $0.970 | $76.62 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 88 | $0.957 | $84.22 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 88 | $0.958 | $84.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 91 | $0.510 | $46.41 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 166 | $0.510 | $84.66 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.310 | $19.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.310 | $19.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.690 | $8.97 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 81 | $0.690 | $55.89 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 86 | $0.979 | $84.19 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 117 | $0.725 | $84.83 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 117 | $0.782 | $91.49 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.065 | $7.61 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 184 | $0.500 | $92 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.510 | $93.84 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.082 | $2.05 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.046 | $1.15 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.806 | $24.18 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 279 | $0.047 | $13.11 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 279 | $0.050 | $13.95 | May 29, 2026 |