Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.05 | $0.487 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.44 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.38 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.440 | $2.09 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.388 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.487 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 555 | $0.002 | $1.11 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 2.58 | $0.430 | $1.11 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.095 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | sell | 7.29 | $0.330 | $2.41 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.13 | $0.149 | $3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - March 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 8, 10AM ETUp | buy | 4.49 | $0.540 | $2.42 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?No | sell | 10.92 | $0.230 | $2.51 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.620 | $1.6 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?No | buy | 10.93 | $0.275 | $3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.444 | $5.55 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.395 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | sell | 6.99 | $0.583 | $4.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.260 | $2.61 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 8?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 8?Yes | buy | 23.39 | $0.086 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?No | buy | 24.61 | $0.041 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 13.67 | $0.146 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 13.44 | $0.220 | $2.96 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 19.92 | $0.100 | $1.99 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.02 | $0.220 | $0.88 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.51 | $0.430 | $1.94 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.89 | $0.300 | $1.47 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.39 | $0.361 | $1.95 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 7, 10PM ETUp | buy | 93 | $0.032 | $3 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 61% and 62%?Yes | buy | 25.82 | $0.077 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |