Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 50.86K | $0.005 | $243.6 | Feb 1, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 386.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $2.32 |
| Jan 31, 2025 |
 Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?No | sell | 2 | $0.008 | $0.02 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?No | sell | 4 | $0.090 | $0.36 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Trump transgender sports ban?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.181 | $0.46 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 33.25 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.110 | $0.16 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.028 | $0.2 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.200 | $1.02 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?Yes | buy | 131.46 | $0.024 | $3.15 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.360 | $1.55 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.270 | $1.5 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.072 | $1.11 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.015 | $10.5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 333.93 | $0.015 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.31 | $0.360 | $1.55 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.994 | $1.49 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 29.93 | $0.134 | $4 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 30.83 | $0.065 | $2 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?Yes | buy | 15.94 | $0.314 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.226 | $3.39 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.319 | $4.79 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.140 | $2.1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.009 | $1.39 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.123 | $0.85 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.019 | $0.3 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.037 | $0.55 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.037 | $0.55 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.160 | $2.4 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.180 | $2.7 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.025 | $0.47 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.069 | $0.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.016 | $1.14 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?Yes | sell | 56.25 | $0.080 | $4.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 26.15 | $0.038 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |