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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 239.91K | $0.001 | $346.92 | Feb 20, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 100K |
| $0.001 |
| $100 |
| Feb 20, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 52.77K | $0.002 | $100 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 6.67K | $0.003 | $20 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 463.53 | $0.216 | $100 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 328.24 | $0.305 | $100 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.590 | $39.33 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.884 | $81.82 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 270.81 | $0.369 | $100 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.216 | $20 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 286.65 | $0.349 | $100 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 35.52 | $0.563 | $20 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.950 | $30.15 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Yes | buy | 68.24 | $0.733 | $50 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | buy | 523.42 | $0.191 | $100 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Trump do better with Asians than in 2020?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Oct 19, 2024 |
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 99.83 | $0.270 | $27 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Will Israel target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | sell | 101.03 | $0.720 | $72.74 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 101.03 | $0.287 | $29 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will another player win the US Open?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.169 | $250 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 26, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.028 | $20 | Jul 26, 2024 |
Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.214 | $21.4 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 60 | $0.484 | $29.04 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will Biden endorse Kamala?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jul 19, 2024 |
Will Biden drop out on July 21?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.180 | $45 | Jul 19, 2024 |
Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.192 | $10 | Jul 18, 2024 |
Biden drops out by July 12?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.140 | $2.94 | Jul 8, 2024 |
Biden drops out by July 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jul 6, 2024 |
Will Biden drop out today?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.014 | $4.2 | Jul 3, 2024 |
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.840 | $9.76 | Jun 28, 2024 |