Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 62.19 | $0.930 | $60.7 | +$2.86 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 26.98 | $0.992 | $26.76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 54.69 |
| $0.962 |
| $53.57 |
| +$0.96 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 33 | $0.962 | $32.52 | +$0.78 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.920 | $29.27 | +$1.67 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 27 | $0.880 | $25.25 | +$1.49 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | No | 30 | $0.780 | $22.8 | -$0.6 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | No | 23 | $0.920 | $22.4 | +$1.24 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.270 | $16.3 | +$10.9 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Pacquiao | 29.99 | $0.330 | $15.15 | +$5.25 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.210 | $3.25 | -$7.25 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.38 | $0.790 | $2.79 | -$6.2 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 24 | $0.370 | $1.18 | -$7.7 |
| buy |
| 29 |
| $0.994 |
| $28.83 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.984 | $11.81 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 14.6 | $0.974 | $14.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.996 | $44.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 15.19 | $0.930 | $14.13 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 368.2 | $0.004 | $1.47 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 62.19 | $0.930 | $57.84 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.99 | $0.960 | $21.11 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.962 | $31.75 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.38 | $0.790 | $8.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 23.69 | $0.954 | $22.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.740 | $10.36 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.941 | $20.7 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)Reinier de Ridder | buy | 9.23 | $0.340 | $3.14 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27 | $0.940 | $25.38 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?No | buy | 18.34 | $0.994 | $18.23 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 18.95 | $0.965 | $18.29 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 27 | $0.880 | $23.76 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.090 | $129.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.001 | $1.24 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.022 | $1.23 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 31 | $0.968 | $30.01 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.993 | $14.9 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Aster all time high by December 31?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.993 | $13 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.996 | $15.94 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 17?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.997 | $23.93 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.02 | $0.070 | $1.82 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell in jail in 2025No | buy | 55.06 | $0.989 | $54.45 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 38.63 | $0.977 | $37.74 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.955 | $28.65 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 25.77 | $0.890 | $22.94 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 539 | $0.002 | $1.08 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.002 | $1.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.986 | $23 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by October 31?No | buy | 30.15 | $0.995 | $30 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 15.37 | $0.976 | $15 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 65.31 | $0.986 | $64.4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 38.36 | $0.995 | $38.17 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 26.23 | $0.953 | $25 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.99 | $0.650 | $18.19 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 48.31 | $0.030 | $1.45 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.950 | $13 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.880 | $15.28 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Rosie O'Donnell citizenship revoked in 2025?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Sep 4, 2025 |