Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?No | buy | 54.17 | $0.960 | $52 | May 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 55 |
| $0.016 |
| $0.87 |
| May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.025 | $1.33 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.007 | $0.37 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.960 | $50.88 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.4 | $0.113 | $5.7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.301 | $15.65 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.025 | $1.31 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.009 | $0.47 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 52 | $0.560 | $29.12 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.026 | $7.78 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.994 | $1.96 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.610 | $35.99 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No | buy | 59 | $0.354 | $20.88 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 58.7 | $0.413 | $24.24 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 58.7 | $0.584 | $34.28 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Vitalik Buterin attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?No | buy | 58.65 | $0.889 | $52.12 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 52.12 | $0.999 | $52.07 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 52.07 | $0.997 | $51.91 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?No | buy | 51.91 | $0.987 | $51.24 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga?Yes | buy | 12.81K | $0.004 | $51.24 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win California Presidential Election?No | buy | 46.67 | $0.990 | $46.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 46.95 | $0.976 | $45.82 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 124.67 | $0.003 | $0.37 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 46.96 | $0.980 | $46.02 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.997 | $4.56 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.004 | $1.8 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 499.67 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.003 | $2.1 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10.25K | $0.004 | $41 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 73 | $0.698 | $50.95 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 73 | $0.780 | $56.94 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?No | sell | 45.86 | $0.998 | $45.77 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.005 | $5.96 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?No | buy | 55.87 | $0.999 | $55.81 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 88.77 | $0.978 | $86.82 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 88.78 | $0.980 | $87 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 1.51K | $0.992 | $1.5K | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.993 | $1.5K | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 2.51K | $0.992 | $2.49K | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.993 | $2.49K | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 2.41K | $0.992 | $2.39K | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.993 | $2.4K | Aug 14, 2024 |